data("dataMaleGammarusSingle")
# work only when replicate have the same length !!!
data_MGS <- dataMaleGammarusSingle[dataMaleGammarusSingle$replicate == 1,]modelData_MGS <- dataPBK(
object = data_MGS,
col_time = "time",
col_replicate = "replicate",
col_exposure = "expw",
col_compartment = "conc",
time_accumulation = 4,
nested_model = NA)fitPBK_MGS <- fitPBK(modelData_MGS)
#>
#> SAMPLING FOR MODEL 'PBK_AD' NOW (CHAIN 1).
#> Chain 1:
#> Chain 1: Gradient evaluation took 8.1e-05 seconds
#> Chain 1: 1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0.81 seconds.
#> Chain 1: Adjust your expectations accordingly!
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#> Chain 1:
#>
#> SAMPLING FOR MODEL 'PBK_AD' NOW (CHAIN 2).
#> Chain 2:
#> Chain 2: Gradient evaluation took 4.7e-05 seconds
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#> Chain 2:
#>
#> SAMPLING FOR MODEL 'PBK_AD' NOW (CHAIN 3).
#> Chain 3:
#> Chain 3: Gradient evaluation took 3.9e-05 seconds
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#> Chain 3: Adjust your expectations accordingly!
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#> Chain 3:
#>
#> SAMPLING FOR MODEL 'PBK_AD' NOW (CHAIN 4).
#> Chain 4:
#> Chain 4: Gradient evaluation took 4.4e-05 seconds
#> Chain 4: 1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 0.44 seconds.
#> Chain 4: Adjust your expectations accordingly!
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#> Chain 4:
#> Chain 4: Elapsed Time: 0.468 seconds (Warm-up)
#> Chain 4: 0.365 seconds (Sampling)
#> Chain 4: 0.833 seconds (Total)
#> Chain 4:
#> Warning: There were 2348 divergent transitions after warmup. See
#> https://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#divergent-transitions-after-warmup
#> to find out why this is a problem and how to eliminate them.
#> Warning: Examine the pairs() plot to diagnose sampling problems
#> Warning: Bulk Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior means and medians may be unreliable.
#> Running the chains for more iterations may help. See
#> https://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#bulk-ess
#> Warning: Tail Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior variances and tail quantiles may be unreliable.
#> Running the chains for more iterations may help. See
#> https://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#tail-essplot(fitPBK_MGS)
#> Warning: `aes_string()` was deprecated in ggplot2 3.0.0.
#> ℹ Please use tidy evaluation idioms with `aes()`.
#> ℹ See also `vignette("ggplot2-in-packages")` for more information.
#> ℹ The deprecated feature was likely used in the rPBK package.
#> Please report the issue at
#> <https://gitlab.in2p3.fr/mosaic-software/rPBK/-/issues>.
#> This warning is displayed once per session.
#> Call `lifecycle::last_lifecycle_warnings()` to see where this warning was
#> generated.library(loo)
#> This is loo version 2.10.1
#> - Online documentation and vignettes at mc-stan.org/loo
#> - As of v2.0.0 loo defaults to 1 core but we recommend using as many as possible. Use the 'cores' argument or set options(mc.cores = NUM_CORES) for an entire session.
log_lik_MGS <- loo::extract_log_lik(fitPBK_MGS$stanfit, merge_chains = FALSE)
WAIC_MGS <- waic(log_lik_MGS)
#> Warning:
#> 1 (12.5%) p_waic estimates greater than 0.4. We recommend trying loo instead.modelData_C4 <- dataPBK(
object = data_C4,
col_time = "temps",
col_replicate = "replicat",
col_exposure = "condition",
col_compartment = c("intestin", "reste", "caecum", "cephalon"),
time_accumulation = 7)You can have a look at the assumption on the interaction
nested_model(modelData_C4)
#> $ku_nest
#> uptake intestin uptake reste uptake caecum uptake cephalon
#> 1 1 1 1
#>
#> $ke_nest
#> excretion intestin excretion reste excretion caecum excretion cephalon
#> 1 1 1 1
#>
#> $k_nest
#> intestin reste caecum cephalon
#> intestin 0 1 1 1
#> reste 1 0 1 1
#> caecum 1 1 0 1
#> cephalon 1 1 1 0fitPBK_C4 <- fitPBK(modelData_C4, chains = 1, iter = 1000)
#>
#> SAMPLING FOR MODEL 'PBK_AD' NOW (CHAIN 1).
#> Chain 1:
#> Chain 1: Gradient evaluation took 0.000365 seconds
#> Chain 1: 1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 3.65 seconds.
#> Chain 1: Adjust your expectations accordingly!
#> Chain 1:
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#> Chain 1:
#> Chain 1: Elapsed Time: 15.216 seconds (Warm-up)
#> Chain 1: 4.174 seconds (Sampling)
#> Chain 1: 19.39 seconds (Total)
#> Chain 1:
#> Warning: There were 497 divergent transitions after warmup. See
#> https://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#divergent-transitions-after-warmup
#> to find out why this is a problem and how to eliminate them.
#> Warning: Examine the pairs() plot to diagnose sampling problems
#> Warning: The largest R-hat is NA, indicating chains have not mixed.
#> Running the chains for more iterations may help. See
#> https://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#r-hat
#> Warning: Bulk Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior means and medians may be unreliable.
#> Running the chains for more iterations may help. See
#> https://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#bulk-ess
#> Warning: Tail Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior variances and tail quantiles may be unreliable.
#> Running the chains for more iterations may help. See
#> https://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#tail-essCompute WAIC with loo library:
library(loo)
log_lik_C4 <- loo::extract_log_lik(fitPBK_C4$stanfit, merge_chains = FALSE)
WAIC_C4 <- waic(log_lik_C4)
#> Warning:
#> 2 (2.4%) p_waic estimates greater than 0.4. We recommend trying loo instead.
print(WAIC_C4)
#>
#> Computed from 500 by 84 log-likelihood matrix.
#>
#> Estimate SE
#> elpd_waic -248.5 19.0
#> p_waic 6.2 1.0
#> waic 496.9 38.0
#>
#> 2 (2.4%) p_waic estimates greater than 0.4. We recommend trying loo instead.Compute LOO:
r_eff_C4 <- relative_eff(exp(log_lik_C4))
LOO_C4 <- loo(log_lik_C4, r_eff = r_eff_C4, cores = 2)
#> Warning: Some Pareto k diagnostic values are too high. See help('pareto-k-diagnostic') for details.
print(LOO_C4)
#>
#> Computed from 500 by 84 log-likelihood matrix.
#>
#> Estimate SE
#> elpd_loo -248.5 19.0
#> p_loo 6.2 1.0
#> looic 497.0 38.0
#> ------
#> MCSE of elpd_loo is NA.
#> MCSE and ESS estimates assume MCMC draws (r_eff in [0.0, 0.5]).
#>
#> Pareto k diagnostic values:
#> Count Pct. Min. ESS
#> (-Inf, 0.63] (good) 83 98.8% 1
#> (0.63, 1] (bad) 1 1.2% <NA>
#> (1, Inf) (very bad) 0 0.0% <NA>
#> See help('pareto-k-diagnostic') for details.You can have a look at the assumption on the interaction
We want to change the interaction between organs. For now, all organs interact with each other but not with themselve, the the interaction matrix look like:
nm_C4$k_nest
#> intestin reste caecum cephalon
#> intestin 0 1 1 1
#> reste 1 0 1 1
#> caecum 1 1 0 1
#> cephalon 1 1 1 0which can be written like:
matrix(c(
c(0,1,1,1),
c(1,0,1,1),
c(1,1,0,0),
c(1,1,1,0)),
ncol=4,nrow=4,byrow=TRUE)
#> [,1] [,2] [,3] [,4]
#> [1,] 0 1 1 1
#> [2,] 1 0 1 1
#> [3,] 1 1 0 0
#> [4,] 1 1 1 0Let assume interaction are only one way, so a triangular matrix:
matrix(c(
c(0,1,1,1),
c(0,0,1,1),
c(0,0,0,0),
c(0,0,0,0)),
ncol=4,nrow=4,byrow=TRUE)
#> [,1] [,2] [,3] [,4]
#> [1,] 0 1 1 1
#> [2,] 0 0 1 1
#> [3,] 0 0 0 0
#> [4,] 0 0 0 0modelData_C42 <- dataPBK(
object = data_C4,
col_time = "temps",
col_replicate = "replicat",
col_exposure = "condition",
col_compartment = c("intestin", "reste", "caecum", "cephalon"),
time_accumulation = 7,
ku_nest = c(1,1,1,1), # No Change here
ke_nest = c(1,1,1,1), # No Change here
k_nest = matrix(c(
c(0,1,1,1),
c(0,0,1,1),
c(0,0,0,0),
c(0,0,0,0)),
ncol=4,nrow=4,byrow=TRUE) # Remove
)nested_model(modelData_C42)
#> $ku_nest
#> uptake intestin uptake reste uptake caecum uptake cephalon
#> 1 1 1 1
#>
#> $ke_nest
#> excretion intestin excretion reste excretion caecum excretion cephalon
#> 1 1 1 1
#>
#> $k_nest
#> intestin reste caecum cephalon
#> intestin 0 1 1 1
#> reste 0 0 1 1
#> caecum 0 0 0 0
#> cephalon 0 0 0 0fitPBK_C42 <- fitPBK(modelData_C42, chains = 1, iter = 1000)
#>
#> SAMPLING FOR MODEL 'PBK_AD' NOW (CHAIN 1).
#> Chain 1:
#> Chain 1: Gradient evaluation took 0.000688 seconds
#> Chain 1: 1000 transitions using 10 leapfrog steps per transition would take 6.88 seconds.
#> Chain 1: Adjust your expectations accordingly!
#> Chain 1:
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#> Chain 1:
#> Chain 1: Elapsed Time: 4.377 seconds (Warm-up)
#> Chain 1: 5.112 seconds (Sampling)
#> Chain 1: 9.489 seconds (Total)
#> Chain 1:
#> Warning: There were 466 divergent transitions after warmup. See
#> https://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#divergent-transitions-after-warmup
#> to find out why this is a problem and how to eliminate them.
#> Warning: There were 1 chains where the estimated Bayesian Fraction of Missing Information was low. See
#> https://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#bfmi-low
#> Warning: Examine the pairs() plot to diagnose sampling problems
#> Warning: The largest R-hat is NA, indicating chains have not mixed.
#> Running the chains for more iterations may help. See
#> https://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#r-hat
#> Warning: Bulk Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior means and medians may be unreliable.
#> Running the chains for more iterations may help. See
#> https://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#bulk-ess
#> Warning: Tail Effective Samples Size (ESS) is too low, indicating posterior variances and tail quantiles may be unreliable.
#> Running the chains for more iterations may help. See
#> https://mc-stan.org/misc/warnings.html#tail-esslog_lik_C42 <- loo::extract_log_lik(fitPBK_C42$stanfit, merge_chains = FALSE)
WAIC_C42 <- waic(log_lik_C42)
#> Warning:
#> 9 (10.7%) p_waic estimates greater than 0.4. We recommend trying loo instead.
print(WAIC_C42)
#>
#> Computed from 500 by 84 log-likelihood matrix.
#>
#> Estimate SE
#> elpd_waic -276.7 14.6
#> p_waic 12.0 1.7
#> waic 553.5 29.3
#>
#> 9 (10.7%) p_waic estimates greater than 0.4. We recommend trying loo instead.Compare WAIC with previous model
comp_C4_C42 <- loo_compare(WAIC_C4, WAIC_C42)
print(comp_C4_C42)
#> model elpd_diff se_diff p_worse diag_diff diag_elpd
#> model1 0.0 0.0 NA
#> model2 -28.3 8.4 1.00 N < 100
#>
#> Diagnostic flags present.
#> See ?`loo-glossary` (sections `diag_diff` and `diag_elpd`)
#> or https://mc-stan.org/loo/reference/loo-glossary.html.The first column shows the difference in ELPD relative to the model with the largest ELPD. In this case, the difference in elpd and its scale relative to the approximate standard error of the difference) indicates a preference for the second model (model2).